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Extreme learning machines for time series prediction
Zmeškal, Jiří ; Rajnoha, Martin (referee) ; Burget, Radim (advisor)
Thesis is aimed at the possibility of utilization of extreme learning machines and echo state networks for time series forecasting with possibility of utilizing GPU acceleration. Such predictions are part of nearly everyone’s daily lives through utilization in weather forecasting, prediction of regular and stock market, power consumption predictions and many more. Thesis is meant to familiarize reader firstly with theoretical basis of extreme learning machines and echo state networks, taking advantage of randomly generating majority of neural networks parameters and avoiding iterative processes. Secondly thesis demonstrates use of programing tools, such as ND4J and CUDA toolkit, to create very own programs. Finally, prediction capability and convenience of GPU acceleration is tested.
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Echo state neural network for stock market prediction
Pospíchal, Ondřej ; Mašek, Jan (referee) ; Burget, Radim (advisor)
This thesis deals with an echo state network and with acceleration of its learning by implementing the echo state network on a graphics processor. The theoretical part consists of the description of neural networks and some selected types of neural networks, on which is based the echo state network. After that, there are some other algorithms described used for time series analysis and last but not least, the tools that were used in the practical part of the thesis were briefly described. The practical part describes the creation of the accelerated version of the echo state network. After that, there is described the creation of input data sets of real financial indexes, on which the echo state network and the other algorithmns were then tested. By analyzing this accelerated version it was found that its learning speed did not reach the theoretical expectations. The accelerated version works slower, but with greater precision. By analyzing the results of the measurement of the other algorithmns it was found that the highest precision is achieved by solutions based on the neural network principle.
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Echo state networks and their application in time series prediction
Savčinský, Richard ; Mráz, František (advisor) ; Matzner, Filip (referee)
Recurrent neural networks (RNN) enable to model dynamical sys- tems with variable input length. Their disadvantage is in inherently difficult trai- ning which means adjusting weights of connections between neurons connected in the network. Echo state networks (ESN) are a special type of RNN which are by contrast trainable rather simply. They include a reservoir of neurons whose state reflect the history of all signals in the network and that is why this type of network is suitable for simulation and prediction of time series. To maximize the computational power of ESN, very precise adjusting and experimenting are required. Because of that, we have created a tool for building and testing such networks. We have implemented a time series forecasting task for the purpose of examination of our tool. We have focused on stock price prediction, which repre- sents an uncertain and complicated area for achieving precise results in. We have compared our tool to other tools and it was comparably successful. 1
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Echo state networks and their application in time series prediction
Savčinský, Richard ; Mráz, František (advisor) ; Matzner, Filip (referee)
Recurrent neural networks (RNN) enable to model dynamical sys- tems with variable input length. Their disadvantage is in inherently difficult trai- ning which means adjusting weights of connections between neurons connected in the network. Echo state networks (ESN) are a special type of RNN which are by contrast trainable rather simply. They include a reservoir of neurons whose state reflect the history of all signals in the network and that is why this type of network is suitable for simulation and prediction of time series. To maximize the computational power of ESN, very precise adjusting and experimenting are required. Because of that, we have created a tool for building and testing such networks. We have implemented a time series forecasting task for the purpose of examination of our tool. We have focused on stock price prediction, which repre- sents an uncertain and complicated area for achieving precise results in. We have compared our tool to other tools and it was comparably successful.
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|
|
Extreme learning machines for time series prediction
Zmeškal, Jiří ; Rajnoha, Martin (referee) ; Burget, Radim (advisor)
Thesis is aimed at the possibility of utilization of extreme learning machines and echo state networks for time series forecasting with possibility of utilizing GPU acceleration. Such predictions are part of nearly everyone’s daily lives through utilization in weather forecasting, prediction of regular and stock market, power consumption predictions and many more. Thesis is meant to familiarize reader firstly with theoretical basis of extreme learning machines and echo state networks, taking advantage of randomly generating majority of neural networks parameters and avoiding iterative processes. Secondly thesis demonstrates use of programing tools, such as ND4J and CUDA toolkit, to create very own programs. Finally, prediction capability and convenience of GPU acceleration is tested.
|
|
|
Echo state neural network for stock market prediction
Pospíchal, Ondřej ; Mašek, Jan (referee) ; Burget, Radim (advisor)
This thesis deals with an echo state network and with acceleration of its learning by implementing the echo state network on a graphics processor. The theoretical part consists of the description of neural networks and some selected types of neural networks, on which is based the echo state network. After that, there are some other algorithms described used for time series analysis and last but not least, the tools that were used in the practical part of the thesis were briefly described. The practical part describes the creation of the accelerated version of the echo state network. After that, there is described the creation of input data sets of real financial indexes, on which the echo state network and the other algorithmns were then tested. By analyzing this accelerated version it was found that its learning speed did not reach the theoretical expectations. The accelerated version works slower, but with greater precision. By analyzing the results of the measurement of the other algorithmns it was found that the highest precision is achieved by solutions based on the neural network principle.
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